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All aboard? Scottish and Welsh multi-level voting; competence, leadership and blame-attribution

Middleton, Alia (2019) All aboard? Scottish and Welsh multi-level voting; competence, leadership and blame-attribution Regional & Federal Studies, 29 (3). pp. 405-427.

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Scotland and Wales went to the polls on the same day in 2016, the former in a post- independence referendum environment and the latter shortly after receiving further devolved powers. Despite this horizontal simultaneity, the results in these elections displayed considerable diversity. Sub-state elections are often classified as second-order and as such are characterized by lower turnouts, anti-government voting and small party support. However regional elections in the United Kingdom sit uncomfortably in this definition. This article focuses on the experience of Scotland and Wales, exploring regional and national factors that help to explain regional electoral outcomes. It examines valence models, multi-level blame attribution, and relative national and regional party leader support. In a second stage, a multinomial logistic regression is undertaken, finding that the relative importance of regional and national factors differs between the two regions.

Item Type: Article
Divisions : Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences > Department of Politics
Authors :
Date : 24 March 2019
DOI : 10.1080/13597566.2019.1594788
Copyright Disclaimer : © 2019 Taylor & Francis. This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Regional & Federal Studies on 24/03/2019, available online:
Uncontrolled Keywords : Devolution; Regional elections; Valence politics; UK elections
Depositing User : Clive Harris
Date Deposited : 11 Apr 2019 08:20
Last Modified : 25 Sep 2020 02:08

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