University of Surrey

Test tubes in the lab Research in the ATI Dance Research

Generalizability of A Neural Network Model for Circadian Phase Prediction in Real-World Conditions

Stone, J.E., Phillips, A.J.K., Ftouni, S., Magee, M., Howard, M., Lockley, S.W., Sletten, T.L., Anderson, C., Rajaratnam, S.M.W. and Postnova, S. (2019) Generalizability of A Neural Network Model for Circadian Phase Prediction in Real-World Conditions Scientific Reports, 9 (1).

Full text not available from this repository.

Abstract

A neural network model was previously developed to predict melatonin rhythms accurately from blue light and skin temperature recordings in individuals on a fixed sleep schedule. This study aimed to test the generalizability of the model to other sleep schedules, including rotating shift work. Ambulatory wrist blue light irradiance and skin temperature data were collected in 16 healthy individuals on fixed and habitual sleep schedules, and 28 rotating shift workers. Artificial neural network models were trained to predict the circadian rhythm of (i) salivary melatonin on a fixed sleep schedule; (ii) urinary aMT6s on both fixed and habitual sleep schedules, including shift workers on a diurnal schedule; and (iii) urinary aMT6s in rotating shift workers on a night shift schedule. To determine predicted circadian phase, center of gravity of the fitted bimodal skewed baseline cosine curve was used for melatonin, and acrophase of the cosine curve for aMT6s. On a fixed sleep schedule, the model predicted melatonin phase to within ± 1 hour in 67% and ± 1.5 hours in 100% of participants, with mean absolute error of 41 ± 32 minutes. On diurnal schedules, including shift workers, the model predicted aMT6s acrophase to within ± 1 hour in 66% and ± 2 hours in 87% of participants, with mean absolute error of 63 ± 67 minutes. On night shift schedules, the model predicted aMT6s acrophase to within ± 1 hour in 42% and ± 2 hours in 53% of participants, with mean absolute error of 143 ± 155 minutes. Prediction accuracy was similar when using either 1 (wrist) or 11 skin temperature sensor inputs. These findings demonstrate that the model can predict circadian timing to within ± 2 hours for the vast majority of individuals on diurnal schedules, using blue light and a single temperature sensor. However, this approach did not generalize to night shift conditions. © 2019, The Author(s).

Item Type: Article
Authors :
NameEmailORCID
Stone, J.E.
Phillips, A.J.K.
Ftouni, S.
Magee, M.
Howard, M.
Lockley, S.W.s.lockley@surrey.ac.uk
Sletten, T.L.
Anderson, C.
Rajaratnam, S.M.W.
Postnova, S.
Date : 2019
DOI : 10.1038/s41598-019-47311-4
Depositing User : Clive Harris
Date Deposited : 17 Jun 2020 00:40
Last Modified : 17 Jun 2020 00:40
URI: http://epubs.surrey.ac.uk/id/eprint/857812

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year


Information about this web site

© The University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, GU2 7XH, United Kingdom.
+44 (0)1483 300800