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Differences between experts and novices in estimations of cue predictive power in crime

García-Retamero, R and Dhami, MK (2009) Differences between experts and novices in estimations of cue predictive power in crime Psicothema, 21 (3). pp. 376-381.

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Abstract

In this study, we compared experts' and novices' estimates of the power of several cues to predict residential burglary. Participants were experienced police officers and burglars, and graduates with no experience in this domain. They all estimated the weight of each cue in predicting the likelihood of a property being burgled. In addition, they ranked the cues according to how useful they would be in predicting the likelihood of burglary. Results showed that the two expert groups differed substantially in their cue weights and rankings, and the police officers were actually more similar to novices in this regard. Beyond this, the two expert groups were more consistent in their responses than novices, that is, they showed less variability in their estimates when using different response method and were more consistent with other participants from their own group. Our results extend the literature on expert-novice differences, and have implications for criminal justice policy and decision making.

Item Type: Article
Authors :
NameEmailORCID
García-Retamero, RUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Dhami, MKm.dhami@surrey.ac.ukUNSPECIFIED
Date : August 2009
Uncontrolled Keywords : Adult, Female, Forecasting, Humans, Male, Theft
Depositing User : Symplectic Elements
Date Deposited : 17 May 2017 09:44
Last Modified : 17 May 2017 14:44
URI: http://epubs.surrey.ac.uk/id/eprint/824923

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