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Does cumulative advantage affect collective learning in science? An agent-based simulation

Watts, C and Gilbert, N (2011) Does cumulative advantage affect collective learning in science? An agent-based simulation SCIENTOMETRICS, 89 (1). 437 - 463. ISSN 0138-9130

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Abstract

Agent-based simulation can model simple micro-level mechanisms capable of generating macro-level patterns, such as frequency distributions and network structures found in bibliometric data. Agent-based simulations of organisational learning have provided analogies for collective problem solving by boundedly rational agents employing heuristics. This paper brings these two areas together in one model of knowledge seeking through scientific publication. It describes a computer simulation in which academic papers are generated with authors, references, contents, and an extrinsic value, and must pass through peer review to become published. We demonstrate that the model can fit bibliometric data for a token journal, Research Policy. Different practices for generating authors and references produce different distributions of papers per author and citations per paper, including the scale-free distributions typical of cumulative advantage processes. We also demonstrate the model’s ability to simulate collective learning or problem solving, for which we use Kauffman’s NK fitness landscape. The model provides evidence that those practices leading to cumulative advantage in citations, that is, papers with many citations becoming even more cited, do not improve scientists’ ability to find good solutions to scientific problems, compared to those practices that ignore past citations. By contrast, what does make a difference is referring only to publications that have successfully passed peer review. Citation practice is one of many issues that a simulation model of science can address when the data-rich literature on scientometrics is connected to the analogy-rich literature on organisations and heuristic search.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: The final publication is available at www.springerlink.com
Uncontrolled Keywords: Simulation, Cumulative advantage, Landscape search, Science models, Science policy, CITATION DISTRIBUTION, RUGGED LANDSCAPES, NETWORKS, MODEL, OPTIMIZATION, STRATEGIES
Related URLs:
Divisions: Faculty of Arts and Human Sciences > Sociology > Centre for Research in Social Simulation (CRESS)
Depositing User: Symplectic Elements
Date Deposited: 29 Nov 2011 12:46
Last Modified: 23 Sep 2013 18:50
URI: http://epubs.surrey.ac.uk/id/eprint/7696

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