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Diffusion and competition of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics, 1948-2009

Baláž, V and Williams, AM (2011) Diffusion and competition of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics, 1948-2009 Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79 (2). 393 - 404. ISSN 0040-1625

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Abstract

The paper applies concepts of population dynamics to the evolution of communication technologies. The dynamics of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics in 1948-2009 are examined via the Lotka-Volterra equations. Fixed lines and mobile phones are considered predatory technologies hunting for their ‘prey’ – voice service subscribers. Each technology squeezes out carrying capacity from its competitor. Mobile phones, however, exert a far greater impact on numbers of fixed telephone lines than vice versa. The conclusions consider some limitations of population dynamics approaches in economic modelling and discuss the different growth strategies associated with particular types of technologies.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(2), September 2011, DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.011.
Divisions: Faculty of Business, Economics and Law > Hospitality and Tourism Management
Depositing User: Symplectic Elements
Date Deposited: 17 Feb 2012 10:48
Last Modified: 23 Sep 2013 18:56
URI: http://epubs.surrey.ac.uk/id/eprint/57951

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